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Insight, observations (and whatever else comes to mind) on the trails of the team that ended the quarter century-long parade drought in the City of Brotherly Love - the Philadelphia Phillies.



Thursday, June 11, 2009

Where would you hit Jimmy?

So I was doing a little number crunching while eating lunch this afternoon (that's why I got in the writing business, after all, to do math) and I came upon this:

Jimmy Rollins
is hitting a robust .208 as a leadoff hitter this year.
Jimmy Rollins is hitting .409 when he is not the leadoff hitter this year.

Granted the sample data is a lot larger when Jimmy is at the top spot, it's worth digging into, right?

Rollins is 47-for-226 with one home run and an on-base percentage of .244 as the leadoff man.

Rollins is 8-for-22 with three home runs in every other spot in the lineup. He has a .273 on-base percentage when hitting fifth and a .625 on-base percentage when hitting sixth.

Although the Phils won in 11 innings Wednesday night, Rollins was 0-for-5 in his return to the top of the order. Charlie Manuel hinted before the game he'd likely stick with Rollins at the leadoff spot, but he hasn't unveiled tonight's lineup yet.

Where would you hit Rollins?

Personally, I'd want him at leadoff when he's beginning to show consistency at the plate. Since he hasn't, I'd hit him lower in the order, in part to break up the lefties/righties in the order.

Last night, when Rollins was hitting first, Mets manager Jerry Manuel's job was made easy in the eighth and ninth innings of a tie game.

He brought in lefty setup man Pedro Feliciano in the eighth... and Feliciano easily sent down lefties Chase Utley, Ryan Howard and Raul Ibanez in order for a 1-2-3 inning. In the ninth, Manuel summoned right-handed closer Francisco Rodriguez, who sent right-handers Jayson Werth, Pedro Feliz and Carlos Ruiz back to the dugout for another 1-2-3 frame.

In order to break up the righties and lefties, the Phils are best served using one of their switch-hitters in the middle of the order. The only two switch hitters are Rollins and Victorino.

Although Victorino isn't an ideal leadoff man, I'm not sure the team can continue to afford sending a sub-.220 hitter out there at the top spot every game either.

So I'd roll out something like this:

Victorino
Utley
Werth
Howard
Ibanez
Rollins
Feliz
Ruiz
Pitcher's spot

Where would you hit Rollins?

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