The Bears Den

An Elizabethtown area sports blog


Tuesday, January 29, 2008

UPDATE: Boys Hoops playoff scenarios

Big win last night for the Bears, pulling together late and defeating Solanco 64-59. In the other game of importance in Section Two, CV beat Cocalico rather handily, 56-43.

So here are the updated standings in Section Two:

CV...................9-6
E-town............8-7
Cocalico..........8-7
Ephrata...........6-9
Solanco...........5-10
Garden Spot....1-14

The season wraps up on Wednesday with CV playing Garden Spot, E-town playing Ephrata and Cocalico facing off with Solanco.

Barring a miracle upset, CV will win the Section Two title and will probably play Lancaster Catholic (section 4 runner up) in the first round of the playoffs. Now, if Garden Spot does find a way to beat CV, there's a bunch of different things that could happen. More on that in a minute.

Listen closely: if E-town wins on Wednesday, they are in the playoffs. Doesn't matter what Cocalico does. If the Bears win, THEY ARE IN. They might not win the section (again, Garden Spot would have to beat CV), but they will be in the playoffs if they win. And if they earn the No. 2 seed from Section Two, they will likely match up with Columbia, who is having an outstanding season. If the Bears lose and Cocalico wins, the Eagles are in and E-town is out.

Now, if CV loses and E-town and Cocalico both win, it gets confusing and, to be honest, I'm not sure if I have it all figured out. That would put all three teams at 9-7. The first tiebreaker would be head to head results and all three teams went 1-1 against each other. Then you would have to go to section record, and E-town would have the edge there at 8-2 with Cocalico and CV being 7-3. My guess is that CV and Cocalico would have to play each other, with the winner earning the right to play E-town for the section title. But we'll cross that bridge if we get there.

My guess is that CV wins the section, and E-town beats Ephrata to get in to the league playoffs. I honestly think that Solanco will beat Cocalico Wednesday to knock the Eagles out.

Just my take, but we'll know for sure on Wednesday.

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